Engineering tool · 01

A year in the life of a seasonal store.

Wind blows hardest in winter, the sun shines in summer, and demand peaks when it is cold and dark. This model runs a simplified Swedish year day by day, sends the surplus through electrolysis into rock caverns, and draws it back out when the system is short. It is a teaching model, not a market model — the point is to make the shape of the problem visible.

System build-out

Wind capacity32 GW
Solar capacity12 GW
Firm power (hydro + nuclear)10 GW
Dispatchable, follows demand up to its capacity.
Average demand16 GW
Winter peak is ~25 % above the average.

Storage

Number of caverns20
200 000 m³ each at 50 bar ≈ 27 GWh of hydrogen.
Electrolyzer capacity6 GW
Re-electrification capacity4 GW
Fuel cells or hydrogen turbines returning power to the grid.
Industrial hydrogen offtake1.0 GW
Steady draw for steel, ammonia and fuels.
Surplus captured
of available surplus
Still curtailed
TWh thrown away per year
Unserved demand
TWh short per year
Hydrogen produced
tonnes per year

Storage state of charge through the year

Green area = hydrogen in the caverns. A working seasonal store fills through spring and summer and draws down through winter.
stored hydrogen surplus power deficit

Surplus and deficit, day by day

Above the line the system has more power than it can use; below the line it is short. Storage moves the gold into the ochre.

Annual balance